Will Bitcoin Crash Below $100K in September 2025?

by Aric Feil

A Bloody Stop to August 2025

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are feeling the warmth. BTC has dropped to practically $110K, whereas ETH slipped below $4,360 amid a $15 billion alternatives expiry and the looming month-to-month shut. Traders are calling this a manipulation play by whales to flush out leverage, nonetheless the awe is ideal: might per chance per chance BTC in actuality atomize below the $100K psychological line in September 2025?

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2025-08-30 (1M)

Choices Expiry and Market Games

Historically, substantial expiry days accomplish inspiring, sudden dumps as market makers hedge positions and pressure liquidations. With BTC commence curiosity sky-excessive, the timing of this sell-off isn’t any twist of fate. Identical setups in past cycles (2017, 2021) impart that once expiry passes, markets on the general stabilize—nonetheless handiest after a brutal shakeout. September might per chance per chance commence with this identical scenario, leaving traders on edge.

Macro Image: World Liquidity is Rising

No topic the awe, there’s a extremely efficient bullish pressure lurking within the background. World M2 liquidity correct hit a brand new all-time excessive, and Bitcoin has traditionally adopted liquidity sing with a cramped drag. The divergence we’re seeing now—liquidity pumping whereas BTC dips—suggests that this correction might per chance per chance handiest be non everlasting and that September’s early weak spot might per chance per chance put up a stronger rebound later within the month.

September 2025: Bearish Beginning or Bullish Setup?

Historically, September is one amongst Bitcoin’s weakest months. Post-halving years possess considered messy Q3 movement before substantial Q4 rallies. The most foremost days of September might per chance per chance lengthen the hot weak spot, with BTC at risk of checking out the 107K–103K zone and ETH concentrated on $4,100–$4,050 if promoting stress continues.

But if BTC reclaims 113.5K–116K, and ETH recovers 4.45K–4.60K, the market might per chance per chance flip rapid, turning September into the launchpad for a solid Q4 rally.

What Traders Might per chance per chance just easy Ogle

  • Bearish Damage: BTC slips below 109K, confirming targets at 107K → 103K. ETH risks a trudge to 4.10K.
  • Bullish Reclaim: BTC breaks 116K, ETH clears 4.60K, confirming renewed momentum.
  • Liquidity Signal: Rising M2 suggests that dips in September would be rapid-lived—positioning issues bigger than awe.
By TradingView - BTCUSD_2025-08-30 (All)

The headlines might per chance per chance yowl break, nonetheless historical past says this appears extra cherish a shakeout precise by contrivance of September in preference to the cease of the bull cycle. Sure, Bitcoin might per chance per chance rapid flirt with the $100K stage in September 2025, nonetheless the macro liquidity wave is easy pointing greater. If the month begins bearish, the greater characterize stays: Q4 will be the rally that no-one wants to streak over.

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