How Much Bitcoin Has Iran Mined? It's Complicated

by Heber Wilkinson

Iran has been mining and trading in cryptocurrencies out of necessity attributable to main global sanctions and a local currency that has dwindled in worth attributable to severe inflation since no longer decrease than 2019. On the other hand, consultants instant Decrypt it’s level-headed virtually inconceivable to estimate its holdings.

The College of Cambridge’s Heart for Different Finance estimated that the nation accounted for 7.5% of Bitcoin’s hashrate in March 2021, a establish that fell as limited as honest 0.12% in January 2022.

In the course of its historic past, Andrew Scott Easton, founder and CEO of Bitcoin miner fund Masterminded, estimated that the country has mined approximately 60,000 BTC—which could maybe be worth $6.4 billion today costs.

In the intervening time, Kent Halliburton, co-founder and CEO of mining platform Sazmining, estimated since 2018, the country has mined between 100,000 and 200,000 BTC. That will indicate its holdings are worth between $10.7 billion and $21.4 billion. The timing is critical, as in 2019, Iran began issuing lawful permits for crypto mining.

But Rajat Ahlawat, researcher at compliance agency Crystal Intelligence, instant Decrypt it is too complex to estimate. He acknowledged that’s because Iran’s mining industry has largely been driven underground in attempts to address away from high electricity costs.

Primarily the most without problems traced sector is that of legally licensed crypto mining farms. In 2020, approximately 1,000 crypto mining farm licenses had been issued, in step with the National Council of Resistance of Iran—a coalition that opposes the present govt in Iran. The the same source acknowledged that in 2022, bigger than 10,000 licenses had been handed out to miners and exchanges.

On the other hand, archaic President Hassan Rouhani has acknowledged himself that about 85% of mining in Iran changed into unlicensed as of 2021. Iran’s explain electricity firm, Tavanir, estimated that approximately 700,000 illegal mining rigs had been working in Iran earlier this one year.

That is because licensed mining farms in most cases fight to flip a mountainous income, Ahlawat says, attributable to the high tariffs and electricity costs imposed upon them.

“As an instance the iron and metal industry—they spend a range of electricity for melting and stuff—nonetheless the tariffs that the iron and metal industry pays are decrease than what [crypto] miners pay,” Ahlawat instant Decrypt, explaining why so worthy mining goes underground.

When a brand fresh Bitcoin is mined, there might be now not any on-chain hint of the build the miner changed into positioned. Meaning that it is miles inconceivable to know the build it has arrive from, which enables Iranian voters and the govtto address away from global sanctions.

As a result, a situation of the crypto mining license is that any mined Bitcoin ought to be supplied proper now to Iran’s central bank, so the govtcan beget the attend of avoiding sanctions. On the other hand, this implies that person miners and groups lose out on this good thing about Bitcoin mining.

As such, most of the mining in Iran comes from individuals and interior institutions, like colleges and mosques, which beget entry to free or heavily subsidized electricity, Ahlawat explained. That’s no longer to show disguise govt-linked organizations that mine Bitcoin and additionally beget the attend of diminished electricity costs.

A Bitcoin mining rig in a mosque in Iran.

Mosques gain free electricity. pic.twitter.com/JISbo5K95A

— Complete Mars Catalog (@WholeMarsBlog) Might well 23, 2021

These illegal operations build the Iranian electricity grid below enormous tension, inflicting nationwide strength outages at events, while additionally skimming doable earnings from the electricity services. It has develop to be the form of tidy worry that Tavanir began offering bounties for folks that reported unlawful crypto farms.

Due to crypto mining’s thirst for electricity and experiences from local media, Ahlawat believes most of Iran’s farming will seemingly be show disguise in its main cities. In 2022, as an instance, the Iranian police stumbled on and confiscated 9,404 illegal crypto mining devices in Tehran over six months.

On Sunday, the United States bombed Iran’s Fordow nuclear situation, which is buried deep in a mountain. From the day sooner than the strike to Tuesday, in step with BitInfoCharts, the Bitcoin hashrate dropped 27.9%. This led to a post on X going viral with speculation that Iran changed into mining Bitcoin in the mountains.

Ahlawat believes the nuclear facility would beget the electrical infrastructure to feature a farm, nonetheless added there might be now not any explicit evidence suggesting there might be a mining farm namely at Fordow. In the intervening time, mining agency Blocksbridge Consulting pushed attend in opposition to the assumption in a e-newsletter, claiming that the industry shouldn’t view too closely at short-timeframe hashrate figures attributable to how volatile it is miles as a on a regular basis metric (Galaxy compare head Alex Thorn acknowledged worthy the the same on X).

So I’m honest gonna recount it,
Iran changed into mining Bitcoin in the mountains. pic.twitter.com/L2KgCVTOO0

— Lysander (@UnderCoercion) June 24, 2025

Even supposing Ahlawat acknowledged, if the nuclear facility had been to be mining Bitcoin, it would be on the fingers of the Iranian govt or indubitably one of its fingers.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, aka the IRGC, is believed to be a big player in Iranian crypto mining, both Easton and Ahlawat acknowledged. The IRGC is a extremely efficient department of Iran’s army, created after the Iranian revolution in 1979. Easton believes that the IRGC is seemingly the largest Bitcoin miner in Iran, citing an editorial by the National Council of Resistance of Iran.

“Another time, we blueprint no longer beget the accurate numbers,” Ahlawat added. “For the reason that govt is concerned, Iran has an glorious historic past of hiding things, so any mining performed by the govtis all hidden. That’s why we don’t beget any insights into it.”

Put simply, we blueprint no longer know for obvious how worthy Bitcoin that Iran has mined. That’s because an estimated 85% of the industry has been driven underground as a option to address away from high electricity payments and the necessity to address onto their crypto tokens.

It be straightforward to forged judgment on Iran’s mining industry, nonetheless there might be a tidy portion of the Iranian civilian inhabitants that is honest mining crypto as a option to get some money and address away from the nation’s hyperinflation. Decrypt stumbled on one social media myth selling soundproof bins for at-dwelling miners, with 166,000 followers—0.18% of the entire Iranian inhabitants.

Iran’s current public is so into crypto that closing one year, Iranian officers warned in opposition to taking half in the Telegram tap-to-assemble game Hamster Kombat. Admiral Habibollah Sayyari, the deputy chief of Iran’s militia, acknowledged it changed into a distraction created by the “enemy” to distract from the nation’s politics, and called it portion of the West’s “comfortable battle” on Iran.

Without reference to the warning, voters tapped away on the clicker game that promised an airdrop of crypto tokens for in-game progression. The game attracted over 300 million gamers, all hoping to get prosperous from the Telegram mini app. On the other hand, many gamers complained that after they purchased their tokens, claiming they got nothing nonetheless “dirt,” attributable to its low worth.

HMSTR is now down 90% from its all-time high, which it reached rapidly after beginning. If any Iranians held onto their HMSTR tokens hoping to address away from Iran’s inflation fee of approximately 38%, they’d beget failed.

Edited by Stacy Elliott

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