Mild Bitcoin investor Pumpius argues that if the SEC clears all pending space XRP ETFs in October, the conditions could presumably well align for XRP to hit $50 by the end of 2025.
He identified that not less than six foremost issuers have already submitted packed with life S-1 filings or amendments with the SEC. These contain Bitwise, WisdomTree, 21Shares, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and Franklin Templeton.
In accordance with Pumpius, the timing of these filings, following the SEC’s dismissal of its case in opposition to Ripple, means that issuers are making ready for a severe launch window.
Demand Shock Incoming
Trade insiders mission that first-month space XRP ETF inflows will exceed $5 billion. In accordance with commentators, this stage of ask could presumably well greatly power the asset’s offer.
Particularly, about 35 billion XRP is in escrow, and a wide portion of the circulating offer is within the arms of exchanges and foremost holders. In varied words, the effective free waft is skinny.
Pumpius highlights that this creates conditions for “air-pocket” tag strikes if billions of bucks in contemporary ask all true now enter the market.
Institutional Infrastructure Already Blueprint for XRP
Furthermore, he acknowledged XRP’s path mirrors Bitcoin and Ethereum’s trajectory sooner than their ETF approvals. Both CME and Coinbase Derivatives launched XRP futures earlier in 2025, creating regulated liquidity channels for institutions.
Mixed with ETFs, this setup will funnel institutional capital into the asset, per the Bitcoin investor.
Why $50 XRP Is Plausible
Pumpius argues that ETF-pushed inflows of $10–18 billion by year-end 2025 could presumably well power coarse tag elasticity, as the market adjusts to clear ask in opposition to restricted liquid offer.
Previous pure ask mechanics, ETFs commence access for RIAs, wealth managers, pensions, and treasuries—turning sidelined capital into compliant, day-to-day-settled space publicity. In accordance with Pumpius, the result is frequently a cycle the establish inflows boost tag, which in turn attracts increased inflows.
In Pumpius’ gape, if all XRP ETFs receive approval in October, the path to $50 by December 2025 just is just not speculative hype nonetheless a logical of offer mechanics, institutional infrastructure, and market structure. “In that setup,” he concludes, “$50 stops being a meme and becomes a path, not a promise.”
10/ Bottom line:
If all space XRP ETFs clear in October, the Q4 liquidity flywheel (inflows → increased tag → increased AUM → extra inflows) can ignite. In that setup, $50 by December ’25 stops being a meme and becomes a path, not a promise.— Pumpius (@pumpius) September 3, 2025
Within the meantime, XRP is buying and selling at $2.80 right this moment, and the road to $50 requires 1,685% improve. The magnitude of this required improve has led many commentators on Pumpius’s put up to particular difference alongside with his level of view.
They argue that the timeline is too short for the XRP market to magnify from $168 billion to $3 trillion.
