Bitcoin Overheating Signals Easing – Is A Second-Half Rally Ahead?

by Margarita Armstrong

Following any other rejection on the $120,000 level, Bitcoin (BTC) is starting up to sing indicators of cooling off – doubtlessly setting the stage for any other rally in the second half of the 365 days. Some analysts now predict that BTC’s subsequent high can even manner $150,000.

Bitcoin’s Contemporary Overheating Segment Short-Lived

In accordance with a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crypto Dan, Bitcoin is currently entering a cooling-off period after a instant-term overheating part. The warning indicators are most evident in the cohort of BTC held for sometime to 1 week.

Crypto Dan shared the following chart showing that this instant-term conserving cohort is now recording successively lower spikes, suggesting that overheated market cases are easing.

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The analyst when put next the new ambiance to earlier overheating phases seen between March-October 2024 and January-April 2025. In each and every cases, the overheating lasted longer and used to be more intense (confirmed in pink containers).

In incompatibility, the new overheating cases (confirmed in yellow box) sing shorter extent and duration when put next with the aforementioned two cases. The analyst added:

Also, since doubtlessly the most up-to-date impress amplify used to be rather modest, we are able to also unprejudiced look a milder and shorter correction in the instant term. Alternatively, it’s vital to remain affected person and survey ahead to a doable uptrend in the second half of 2025.

The amplify in BTC’s impress at some level of doubtlessly the most up-to-date rally saw the digital asset surge from spherical $108,000 on July 1 to a new all-time excessive (ATH) of $123,128 on July 13, sooner than stabilizing spherical the $117,500 label on the time of writing.

Is BTC Making ready For Its Next Mountainous Pass?

As Bitcoin consolidates, several analysts counsel the conclude cryptocurrency would be gearing up for a foremost transfer – likely to the upside. Weak crypto analyst Titan of Crypto famed that Bitcoin is currently “in a stress cooker.”

Titan of Crypto shared the following chart, highlighting that Bollinger Bands are tightening while volatility is scared. On the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is compressing – regularly a precursor to a breakout.

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Fellow analyst Ali Martinez added that BTC’s subsequent high can even attain $149,679, in accordance with the Cumulative Tag Days Destroyed (CVD) metric. For context, the CVD metric measures whether patrons or sellers are dominating trading quantity over time.

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That mentioned, some warning indicators linger. Fair no longer too prolonged ago, Bitcoin alternate reserves reached a one-month excessive, suggesting that some holders would be making ready to sell – doubtlessly placing stress on the new bullish trend. At press time, BTC trades at $117,546, down 0.4% in the previous 24 hours.

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Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com

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